OBSERVATIONS SINCE THE SPRING OF 1997
1.
For northern states , the "Wisconsin Plan"
appears to have the backing of both Republicans, Democrats, and Independents.
The welfare reform of late 1996 would indicate that this plan may be
the model for the United States. The plan incorporates immediate work
for subsidized mothers, penalties for unwed fathers, as well as education
and training within a 5 year framework. (CEDAR RAPIDS GAZETTE May 19,
1996, 3a)
2.
In a March 11, 1996 issue of BUSINESS WEEK, workers still
indicate economic anxiety. Full time careers are no longer available
in the wider community. Families must base their livelihood on a series
of transitional jobs and temporary agencies.
3.
Increasingly the two major parties have become funded
by same or similar forces. A good example is the ADM which sponsors
both parties. The difference between the parties is that the Republicans
are more likely to support a corporate form of capitalism and the Democrats
a very mild form of social democratic capitalism. (BUSINESS WEEK, May
7, 1996.)
4.
Conservative Gary Becker in the March 11, 1996 BUSINESS
WEEK issue suggests that education be thought of as a human investment
rather than consumption. In the same issue, Lester Thurow suggest that
capitalism is heading into a new dark age, because it can not rally
common goals for citizens. Further, he notes that no other system works
as well as capitalism in terms of productivity and efficiency.
5.
In TIME, May 6,1996, American corporations have yet to
find a way to deal with the stresses of two wage income families.. Further
PHO's are now demanding healthy life styles and will deduct larger pay
outs for smokers and others for hospital benefits.
6.
In the April 22, 1996 issue of BUSINESS WEEK, Robert
Kutner suggest that we arre becoming an investor economy rather than
a worker economy. Although 100 million Americans are shareholders, very
few can live on their investment as the top one half of one percent
own 59 of the total value. The real unemployment rate is roughly 14.
7.
TIME, July 15, 1996, indicates that futurist are now
part ofacademia and the corporate world.
8.
The February 1994 issue of ATLANTIC MONTHLY, suggest
an ongoing anarchy , crumbling borders, in the THIRD WORLD.
9.
TIME, October 2, 1995 suggests that global warming is
already underway in the world and will have huge impacts on all countries
around the world.
10.
Lars-Erik Nelson writing for NEWSY, 1995, suggest that
global wages will go down in constant dollars because most goods and
services can be outsourced to Third World countries that still have
the necessary infrastructure.
11.
Richard Eckersley writing for the FUTURIST, December
1993 indicates that the western world is going through deep cultural
crisis, because each new generation no longer as hopeful about the future.
Indirectly, this affects crime, drugs, violence, and situational depression.
12.
The above remarks also appear to be affecting a new generation
of Japanese youth. The gen X of Japan seem to mimic the problems of
other countries according to BUSINESS WEEK, August 7, 1995.
13.
According to Prof. Gene Stephens (THE FUTURIST, August
1994) there appears tobe a global crime wave. He suggests community
policing which appears to be reducing crime in the United States, although
the USA still has the highest crime rate in western societies.
14.
Alvin and Heidi Toffler suggest in THE FUTURIST, April
1995, that we are now clearly in the Third Wave of society formation.
It is global in nature and local in orientation. They suggest that individuals
and families be empowered with vouchers and tax credits to survive in
the new economy. There will be portability in benefits and there will
be left wing and right wing versions of this.
15.
Michael Lind reviewed in BUSINESS WEEK, August 7, 1995,
indicates that if continued extrapolations remain the United States
will wither into a third world country like Brazil.
16.
The March 20, 1995 BUSINESS WEEK suggests that we now
have a universal currency and that is electronic money or hot money
that can move and swirl in terms of billions of dollars each day to
various countries. This will probably cause economic destabilization.
17.
Cohen and Soloman suggest in their "Guns, Ammo,
and Talk Radio" (Creators Syndicate, 1995) that this medium on
a daily basis encourages indirectly the violent overthrow of the government.
18.
Ultimate violence (human cock fights) as well as soft
pornography are now common staples on cable television. (November 27,
1995 ofNEWSWEEK.)
19.
A third of the world is now infected with tuberculosis(THE
CEDAR RAPIDS GAZETTE, Noevember29, 1995.)
20.
From the same source, there now appears to be only two
antibiotics left that can minmize infections.
21.
Benefits are being reduced to most workers in the USA
according to BUSINESS WEEK, December 4, 1995.)
22.
Acording to US NEWS & WORLD REPORT (September 8,
1995) the United States is the most profitable and productive country
in the world. However, according to BUSINESS WEEK, (September 18, 1995)
wages are now 59.8 since the
peak of 1967.
23.
According to US NEWS (September 25, 1995) the ozone hole
is as big as Europe.
24.
"Message for the 90's: Please Fence Me In"
(Bob Greene, CEDAR RAPIDS GAZETTE, Nov. 29, 1995.) The largest increases
in housing are being built within gated communities with a security
entrance.
25.
James J. MacKenzie and Kathleen Courrier "Be careful
on gas taxes: day of petroleum recokoning nears" CEDAR RAPIDS GAZETTE,
May 13, 1996. It appears that we have about 15 years of recoverable
oil supplies.
26.
THE CEDAR RAPIDS GAZETTE, MARCH 2, 1996, "Only about
a third of the work force have full time, full benefits jobs.)
27.
"The New Economics of Food" BUSINESS WEEK,
May 20, 1996, "As global demand outpaces supply, both have and
have nots are in for a shock.)
28.
According to NATION, March 1996, the majority of national
news and entertainment now come from four major sources or oligopolies.
They are General Electric, Westing house, Disney/Cap Cities, Time Warner.
29.
According to BUSINESS WEEK, August 7, 1996, the devolution
of power and responsibility to the states is now a fact, but for the
most part the states are not financially solvent to be able to run the
delegated programs. 30. According to the POPCORN REPORT , on the whole Americans are cocooning by with drawing from the larger society and insulating themselves in their homes, (from futurist Faith Popcorn.) FUTURE PROBE 1. US NEWS & WORLD REPORT, October 12, 1997, p. 12 report that subliminal messages(around 9,000 of them) will be placed on the computer internet. They will also be broadcaston “Seinfield.” 2.USA TODAY , February 24, 1997, reports that the cloning of sheep will be the breakthroughfor human cloning. 3.BUSINESS WEEK , February 24, 1997 p. 50 indicates that Europe is going through a greatdeal of strain and is at the breaking point by the demands of global capitalism. 4.GLAMOUR, May 1997, p-84,90-91 reports that it will be increasing hard to protect one’s medical records from the observation of others including insurance companies. 5.TIME, August 25, 1997, 30-35 indicate that it will be increasing difficult to protect oneself from theaccumulation of records of sensitive information about one’s self and that information becomingavailable to others. 6.SIOUX CITY JOURNAL, Friday, July 18, 1997, p. A-3 maintain that the future of agriculturewill dominated by corporate farms and large hog lots. 7.BUSINESS WEEK, August 11, 1997, p. 35 indicate that advertisements are increasingly anti-socialand aggressive in their format. In the same issue on p. 14, they maintain that worker insecuritywill be the wave of the future. 8. In a new book by Popcorn and Marigold entitled CLICKING (New York: HarperCollins Publishers,1996) indicate the following future trends. They are: cocooning (staying at home) clanning(withdrawing within one’s family and close friends) fantasy adventure( traveling and communicating by electronic technology) pleasure revenge (secret drug use) small indulgences(pricey luxuries) anchoring(returning to religion) egonomics(seeking personal service) female think( movingtowards feminine strategies of living) mancipation(moving toward more personal freedom) 99 Lives ( increasingly having to play more roles) cashing out (choosing more simpler lives) beingalive (improving one’s health) downaging( returning to nostalgia of childhood) vigilante consumerism(cautious protest against producer exploitation) icon topping(questioning authority) SOS(environmentalconcerns.) FUTURE PROBE 1998 1. The national debt is now 6 trillion dollars(Cedar Rapids Gazette, July 30, 1998.editorial page)
2. The USA dollar is becoming the international currency. (US NEWS and World Report, April 27,1998. p28. Further, money is becoming more electronic and variable. Coca Cola machines are now being made that varies the price of a can of cola depending upon demand. The higher the demand the higher the price, and the lower, the lower the price.
3. Arizona has moved to private vouchers. Nearly 85 still attend the "publics" and students in the privates do no better than those in the public sector. However, both students and parents like the privates. The problem for industry is that the expertise has not improved with the publics or the privates.US News and World Report, April 27th, 1998, p.35-46.
4. According to Richard Reeves UPI correspondent (TheGazette, April 17,1998. 4a) Clinton administration aggressively promotes US Arms sales world wide, big business seeks to control universities, US companies are world leaders in torture devices, U.S. paper companies conspire to squash opposition forces in Mexico.
5. The number 4 killer in the USA is medication reactions. Omaha World Herald, April 15,1998. p. 7
6. Gen Xer's are poorly paid compared to their parents.From 1979 to 1996 all workers median income fell 15. Gen Xer's have fallen an additional 1 a year since 1989. BUSINESS WEEK, may 11,1998, p.24
7. 0n May 18,1998 BUSINESS WEEK notes these trends: a. capital appears to trump nationalism b. consolidation triumphs over competition c. gloabalism triumphs over regionalism d. efficient markets triumph over savings e. free marketism triumphs over mercantilism f. globaliism and high tech trump regulation.
8. Numerous sources (U.S. News & World Report, July 13,1998, Business Week, June 18,1998. 38-39., and 144 see the Asian crisis having a big impact on the American economy.
9. Not only is the country troubled by El Nino but there is a new vicious termite coming from the south. Time, July 13,1998. 68-69.
10. Y2K means that near the beginning of the 21st century, the world may go silent because computers can not read 00. THE FUTURIST, August-September 1998,16-21.
11. The spread between the average worker and management has moved from 42 times in 1980 (35 times in 1974) is now over 300 times. CEDAR RAPIDS GAZETTE, May 24,1998, 5a. Industrial giant, J.P. Morgan stated that 20 times should be the ratio. 12. The midwest may be one of the safest places relative social instability that might be caused by Y2K. NEWSWEEK, August, 3,1998,14
13. The United States hosts the School of Americas that appears to train third world soldiers in how to physically and mentally change individuals attitudes and behavior of their citizens in terms of stabilizing the society. THE CEDAR RAPIDS GAZETTE, July 27,1998, 4a.
14. There appears to be a convergence of good will between science and religion. NEWSWEEK, July 20,1998, p.44-52.
15.
Futurists predict that shopping on the internet will ultimately replace
suburban malls. TIME, July 26, 35-42. 16.U.S News and World Report
notes that California, a bellwether state has the worst school facilities
in the country, because of Proposition 13. This also applies to a
lesser extent to highways and related public facilities.
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