Final
Observations of Chaos Theory
1. Chaos theory is a rather new additon to the social sciences. If
it holds up and makes wider applicaton to the social sciences, the
theory would suggest that research paradigms and theory itself is more
descriptive than predictive. A chaotic micro-trigger can have larger
influences on human behavior than once thought. Deterministic models
will generally thought of as more suggestive than hard line prediction.
If chaos theory does not hold up, than hard line ratio number prediction
will survive. It may be in the future that if chaos continues to prove
valid and helpful, triangulation of research strategies will be the
best way to pursue the knowledge of human behavior.
2. This would also suggest that correlation is generally a better word
to use than causation when it comes to human behavior. If the chaos
theory is to be substantiated, a new hybrid word, such as correlative
causation may be born.
3. Further, less robust measures that are more nominal in orientation
as an example chi-square may be used rather than robust ratio oriented
multiple regression may be used. Or, even better, given that there
is a large enough sample, the authors may want to present their findings
in both multiple regression and in multi-tabular chi-square tables.
Thus, chaos theory is assumed with the less robust chi-square. However,
the authors of various new studies will give the readers a combination
of presentations that include the randomness of chaos theory. Chi-square
may be less strong, but is comprehensive enough compared to multiple
regression. The less discrete measure is more likely to involve erratic
activity of multiple micro-triggers. Path analysis may become suspect.
4. Chaos theory is not directly related to post modernism. The science
of the holy spirit , suchness, or wu is still not a hard science, because
no one knows when the next micro trigger will emerge or in topological
chaos how the entire model gradually changes. It is probably postmodern,
but it is not necessarily new age. If chaos continues to prosper, many
other questionable and other theories may emerge that really do not
have any direct relationship to chaos theory. However, they may claim
a relationship.
5. Words like unintended consequences, wild cards, perfect storms,
surprises, upsets, conundrums, magic moments, puzzles and related may
or may not denote chaos theory. However, the words may suggest that
chaos is at work.
6. Although chaos has at least 3 submodels (chaos/topological chaos/
catastrophic chaos) this does not mean that other social change models
are not useful and valid.
7. Chaos theory will also have to look at multiple stimuli. It is very
likely that micro-triggers will give rise to numerous other triggers,
that give rise to millions of other triggers so that on going change
is everlasting. Most linear deterministic models take snap shots or
longitudinal snapshots of reality. We would suggest the metaphor of
some computer videos of stuttering, streaming and shifting pictures
that are even more longitudinal than snap shots, but not quite that
of a “moving” motion picture. However, that is the ultimate
goal of chaos theory. It is the capturing of movement in real time.
8. Chaos is suggested by some as one of the great discoveries of the
20th century that is in the same league with the likes of quantum theory
and theory of relativity. For the social sciences, we suggest that
the theory is more sublimentary and will compliment but not replace
the three major theories of equilibrium, conflict, and meaning.
9. Chaos theory will demand that all the social sciences may want to
rethink the word science. In other words, social methodologies may
replace the word social sciences, because chaos reminds the observer
of the softness of predictions and interpretations.
10. Chaos theory, hopefully, will become common knowledge to students
who take courses in the social sciences in the years ahead. This little
book of essays is to reinforce the idea that chaos ought to be with
us for a long, long time.
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