As a non-expert, I would like to introduce the reader to a worst case scenario. Before I go any further, I want to indicate my bias. I grew up on the edge of a Jewish neighborhood. For me, it was a very pleasant experience. On the other hand, through the years I have also became acquainted with members of the Nation of Islam. My cardiologist is a moderate Sunni Muslim. I would like that Israel exist and live in some imperfect but sustaining harmony with other surrounding Arab countries.

I recently was re-introduced to a situation that I first heard in a lecture in a doctoral course on Social Demography about 30 years ago. On the Discovery Channel, New York Times Reporter Steven Friedman interviewed numerous individuals relative to the Israeli-Palestine conflict. One of the discussions was the erection of a wall surrounding a good size portion of the country. However what was an epiphany for Friedman was the vastly emerging growth of Israeli Palestinians. This means that there are numerous people of Palestinian background that live in Israel as their home. Palestinians as a generalization have fairly large families and within the next 10 to 25 years will out number Jews.

Israel is a democracy and at the time of this writing, they have a parliamentary democracy with a one person one vote arrangement. This means that a day will come when Palestinians can vote in a Palestinian government. One does not want to be naïve and indicate that all Israeli Palestinians are of one mind. However, it is not terribly difficult to imagine a very strong viable party that is concerned with citizenship rights and increased power and influence of Israeli Palestinians. What might happen?

Do Israeli’s disenfranchise voting privileges of Palestinians of Israel? If so, will they retain the support of western democracies?

Can Palestinians of Israel be segregated into another country within the conflicted borders of Israel and retain support from the West?

Can Jews of Israel continue to exist socially and emotionally with day to day bombings and killings within its borders?

Can they continue to fight repeated and intermittent wars outside their country?

Ultimately, will all of the above create another Diaspora for Jews?

If all of those issues create a tipping point where Jews lose control of Israel, what happens?

Given my biases, my worst case scenario for Jews runs hypothetically along these trajectories.

1. Most orthodox Jews remain in Israel. They live in ghettos but celebrate the fact that they in their homeland which is of course claimed by Palestinians.

2. Numerous secular Jews, conservative and reform Jews out migrate to the west.

3. Many relocate in the USA, Canada, and Scandinavians countries. Past history with some European countries has been disastrous and a large number of Jewish immigrants might invite or reignite Nazi sympathies and political reaction.

4. Jews in the United States may find acceptance in Utah, and the coastlines of the states.

5. Other university towns and cosmopolitan cities here in the states would also be viable geographic solutions.

In the end, there are numerous wild cards that may reshape the paradigms with its questions and attendant answers. A two nation policy may give rise to something else like bundles of Jewish city-states that are essentially all or nearly all Jewish. They are encircled by walls and heavily fortified.

However, the future will speak for itself. Future generations will then know.